Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.289005 3.480410 3.684057 3.918082 4.181154 4.469633 4.812546
2025-04-13 2.919110 3.161810 3.431846 3.758149 4.146833 4.601902 5.185976
2025-04-20 2.747121 3.035914 3.370136 3.793062 4.325775 4.992549 5.923218
2025-04-27 2.617661 2.942751 3.332039 3.845534 4.527274 5.439314 6.832190
2025-05-04 2.532428 2.892157 3.336914 3.947702 4.803051 6.032104 8.116429
2025-05-11 2.432859 2.813546 3.296533 3.982497 4.988715 6.532698 9.440928
2025-05-18 2.325313 2.715430 3.220499 3.957467 5.081011 6.906937 10.707172
2025-05-25 2.195399 2.579162 3.082310 3.829175 4.996786 6.969601 11.384301
2025-06-01 2.105401 2.489872 3.001058 3.774677 5.019667 7.223150 12.631655
2025-06-08 2.031598 2.417670 2.937872 3.739994 5.068384 7.534261 14.241843
2025-06-15 1.980023 2.372359 2.908762 3.753244 5.198227 8.036846 16.868829
2025-06-22 1.908761 2.296276 2.830749 3.682921 5.171014 8.203263 18.581096
2025-06-29 1.832776 2.215439 2.748729 3.612029 5.157442 8.455260 21.332909
2025-07-06 1.749842 2.121654 2.643279 3.496039 5.047725 8.464303 23.184502
2025-07-13 1.716075 2.095612 2.636471 3.541658 5.255683 9.343410 32.975060
2025-07-20 1.687253 2.075007 2.636265 3.598263 5.497718 10.452944 55.324766
2025-07-27 1.669734 2.069579 2.658522 3.695829 5.848016 12.148399 177.676649
2025-08-03 1.639377 2.043680 2.646951 3.731618 6.071212 13.628687 NaN
2025-08-10 1.599633 2.002007 2.607777 3.712734 6.163457 14.702828 NaN
2025-08-17 1.543425 1.933644 2.522485 3.600640 6.009777 14.582614 NaN
2025-08-24 1.503740 1.888752 2.473127 3.553341 6.013102 15.261317 NaN
2025-08-31 1.469915 1.851468 2.434327 3.523214 6.056244 16.222878 NaN
2025-09-07 1.446322 1.828783 2.418209 3.535687 6.215131 18.088435 NaN